| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 57% | -5.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.8% | 38.8% |
| xgboost | 68.1% | 30.3% |
| logistic | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Detroit Red Wings | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1375 | 1448 |
| Surface Elo | 1375 | 1448 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.33 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.33 | 3.88 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 5 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 0 - 1 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 6 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 5 - 3 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 3 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 2 - 3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 1 - 5 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1 - 4 | L |
| 09 Apr 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 - 3 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 02 Apr 2026 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 4 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 5 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 22 Jan 2025 | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| 19 Dec 2024 | Detroit Red Wings | 6 - 4 | Philadelphia Flyers |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 - 1 | Detroit Red Wings |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 15 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.22 | 45.0% | 15 Oct 19:20 |