OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-25
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Sunday 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Freiburg 2.00 1 - 3 2.20 Bayern München
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 56.9%72%-14.6%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 80.7%89%-8.0%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 73.8%86%-11.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 60.5%79%-18.6%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson15.7%17.6%66.7%
xgboost32.1%26.8%41.1%
logistic13.3%21.0%65.7%
Inputs the models saw
FreiburgBayern München
Elo (pre-match)16661923
Surface Elo16661923
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.002.20
Form trend0.60-0.20
Season points per game2.172.33
Season goals for / game2.503.67
Season goals against / game1.000.83
Rest days78
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W9 W · 1 D
Freiburg: last 5
22 OctAMonaco0 - 3L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
18 OctABayer Leverkusen1 - 2L
15 OctHFK Jablonec3 - 2W
11 OctHSchalke 042 - 1W
Bayern München: last 5
21 OctHArsenal2 - 2D
17 OctHRB Leipzig6 - 1W
17 OctHRB Leipzig6 - 1W
13 OctAViking FK3 - 3D
10 OctAAugsburg2 - 2D
Head to head
04 Apr 2026Freiburg2 - 3Bayern München
22 Nov 2025Bayern München6 - 2Freiburg
25 Jan 2025Freiburg1 - 2Bayern München
01 Sep 2024Bayern München2 - 0Freiburg
01 Mar 2024Freiburg2 - 2Bayern München
08 Oct 2023Bayern München3 - 0Freiburg
08 Apr 2023Freiburg0 - 1Bayern München
16 Oct 2022Bayern München5 - 0Freiburg
02 Apr 2022Freiburg1 - 4Bayern München
06 Nov 2021Bayern München2 - 1Freiburg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.4071.4%25 Oct 16:30
Bet3651X2draw5.5018.2%25 Oct 16:30
Bet3651X2home6.2516.0%25 Oct 16:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3076.9%25 Oct 16:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.5028.6%25 Oct 16:30
SportyBet1X2away1.4768.0%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.6917.6%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home6.1716.2%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3176.3%25 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.6027.8%25 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC