| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.0% | 60% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.7% | 48.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.6% | 60.3% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Aidan Mayo | Colton Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1533 | 1600 |
| Surface Elo | 1533 | 1600 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 17 | 18 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Sander Jong | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Kaylan Bigun | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 1 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Colton Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Duncan Chan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Aidan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Duncan Chan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | Colton Smith |
| 01 Oct 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | Colton Smith |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | Colton Smith |
| 05 Aug 2024 | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 0 | Colton Smith |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.70 | 58.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |