| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 58.3% | 49% | +9.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 49.2% |
| logistic | 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Rafael Tosetto | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1372 | 1348 |
| Surface Elo | 1372 | 1348 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 143 | 1109 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | H | Jefferson Wendler Filho | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 May | A | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Mar | A | Emilio Nava | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Jun | A | Leonardo Aboian | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Jun | A | Juan Sebastian Osorio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Marcelo Zormann Da Silva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Jul | H | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jun | H | Keenan Mayo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 May | A | Ignacio Monzon | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Apr | A | Ignacio Carou | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |