| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 59.9% | 56% | +4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 61.2% | 24.6% |
| xgboost | 63.7% | 34.6% |
| logistic | 63.8% | 36.2% |
| Ottawa Senators | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1558 | 1467 |
| Surface Elo | 1558 | 1467 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.40 | 3.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 5 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Philadelphia Flyers | 1 - 3 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Islanders | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 2 - 7 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 3 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 4 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Boston Bruins | 3 - 6 | L |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 7 - 4 | San Jose Sharks |
| 23 Nov 2025 | San Jose Sharks | 2 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 02 Mar 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 5 - 3 | San Jose Sharks |
| 28 Nov 2024 | San Jose Sharks | 3 - 4 | Ottawa Senators |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.79 | 55.9% | 22 Oct 18:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 22 Oct 18:20 |