| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 71.5% | 80% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 16.9% | 83.1% |
| logistic | 30.4% | 69.6% |
| Alina Charaeva | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1806 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1806 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Yuliia Starodubtseva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Sonay Kartal | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Marie Bouzkova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Anna Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Han Shi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | Qinwen Zheng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.26 | 79.4% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.05 | 24.7% | 07 Oct 06:15 |