| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.0% | 54% | -8.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.8% | 77% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.3% | 74% | -15.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 57% | +0.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.6% | 29.5% | 26.0% |
| xgboost | 43.2% | 24.5% | 32.3% |
| logistic | 38.3% | 29.4% | 32.2% |
| Cremonese | Juve Stabia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1471 | 1458 |
| Surface Elo | 1471 | 1458 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 2 D |
| 17 Oct | A | Pisa | 1 - 3 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Pisa | 1 - 3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Arezzo | 0 - 0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Virtus Entella | 0 - 0 | D |
| 18 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 3 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sudtirol | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Virtus Entella | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Oct | H | US Palmese 1914 | 4 - 1 | W |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Cremonese | 1 - 1 | Juve Stabia |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Juve Stabia | 1 - 2 | Cremonese |
| 27 Jul 2020 | Juve Stabia | 1 - 2 | Cremonese |
| 26 Dec 2019 | Cremonese | 1 - 1 | Juve Stabia |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.20 | 23.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.75 | 57.1% | 23 Oct 06:15 |