| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.4% | 68% | -4.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 29.8% | 70.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| logistic | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| Iva Jovic | Iga Swiatek | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1846 | 1971 |
| Surface Elo | 1846 | 1971 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.17 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Harriet Dart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Kamilla Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Harriet Dart | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Donna Vekic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Xinyu Gao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Iva Jovic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Donna Vekic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Iga Swiatek | 2 - 0 | Iva Jovic |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.47 | 68.0% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 06 Oct 06:15 |