| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 71.0% | 71% | +0.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.7% | 35.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.0% | 13.9% |
| logistic | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Holger Rune | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1907 | 1728 |
| Surface Elo | 1907 | 1728 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Kyrian Jacquet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Ugo Humbert | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Holger Rune | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Jie Cui | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Sep | H | Zachary Svajda | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Aug | H | Ignacio Buse | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct 2026 | Daniel Altmaier | 2 - 1 | Holger Rune |
| 30 Oct 2023 | Daniel Altmaier | 0 - 2 | Holger Rune |
| 31 May 2021 | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | Holger Rune |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.05 | 32.8% | 06 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.41 | 70.9% | 06 Oct 06:15 |