| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.6% | 45% | +6.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.6% | 48.3% |
| logistic | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alastair Gray | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1519 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1519 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Dominick Mosejczuk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Li Tu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | George Loffhagen | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Lui Maxted | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Benjamin Willwerth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Mason Vaughan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Hiroki Sakagawa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Antonin Witz | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.20 | 45.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.60 | 62.5% | 18 Oct 06:15 |