| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.5% | 62% | -8.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.6% | 49.3% |
| logistic | 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Henry Bernet | Dominic Stricker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1654 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1654 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniil Glinka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Liam Broady | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 2 | Henry Bernet |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.60 | 62.5% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.25 | 44.4% | 01 Oct 06:15 |