| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.1% | 73% | -15.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 83.0% | 92% | -9.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 76.5% | 89% | -12.7% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 66% | -7.6% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.6% | 21.8% | 20.7% |
| xgboost | 63.4% | 22.0% | 14.6% |
| logistic | 57.8% | 25.2% | 17.0% |
| Girona | Celta B | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1577 | 1471 |
| Surface Elo | 1577 | 1471 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 21 Oct | A | Terrassa FC | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Andorra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Andorra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Espanyol Barcelona B | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Oct | H | Tenerife | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Sociedad | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Sociedad B | 4 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Sporting Gijon | 2 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 7.40 | 13.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.10 | 19.6% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.37 | 73.0% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |