| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 67.1% | 75% | -7.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.3% | 32.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.6% | 30.3% |
| logistic | 68.6% | 31.4% |
| Kilian Feldbausch | Tom Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1669 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1669 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | H | Arthur Bouquier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Diego Dedura Palomero | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Wehnelt, Kai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Diego Dedura | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Romain Faucon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Maximilian Marterer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Lucas Poullain | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Ugo Blanchet | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.34 | 74.6% | 26 Oct 06:15 |