| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.7% | 63% | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| logistic | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Calvin Hemery | Carlos Taberner | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1588 | 1635 |
| Surface Elo | 1588 | 1635 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 23 Sep | A | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Daniel Elahi Galan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | A | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Petr Nesterov | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2026 | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | Carlos Taberner |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.57 | 63.7% | 25 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 25 Sep 06:15 |