| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.4% | 72% | -13.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 54.6% | 45.3% |
| logistic | 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Fausto Tabacco | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1386 | 1536 |
| Surface Elo | 1386 | 1536 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniel Rincon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Inaki Montes De La Torre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Nov | A | Alexander Donski | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Aug | H | Filippo Romano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Jacob Fearnley | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Alexander Donski | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Sep | H | Maks Kasnikowski | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |