OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏒 Ice hockey on 2026-10-11
🏒 NHL · Sunday 11 October 2026, 02:00 UTC · finished
Calgary Flames 0.20 2 - 4 0.60 Anaheim Ducks
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 35.7%53%-17.8%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson40.7%43.2%
xgboost67.1%32.0%
logistic31.3%68.7%
Inputs the models saw
Calgary FlamesAnaheim Ducks
Elo (pre-match)13851509
Surface Elo13851509
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.200.60
Form trend0.20-0.10
Season points per game0.000.75
Season goals for / game1.503.50
Season goals against / game5.752.75
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 0 D
Calgary Flames: last 5
09 OctHColorado Avalanche3 - 7L
05 OctASeattle Kraken1 - 6L
04 OctAVancouver Canucks1 - 4L
02 OctHSeattle Kraken1 - 6L
17 AprHLos Angeles Kings3 - 1W
Anaheim Ducks: last 5
10 OctAWinnipeg Jets5 - 1W
08 OctHEdmonton Oilers2 - 5L
05 OctHFlorida Panthers3 - 2W
03 OctAVegas Golden Knights4 - 3W
15 MayHVegas Golden Knights1 - 5L
Head to head
05 Apr 2026Anaheim Ducks3 - 5Calgary Flames
27 Mar 2026Calgary Flames2 - 3Anaheim Ducks
02 Mar 2026Anaheim Ducks3 - 2Calgary Flames
26 Jan 2026Calgary Flames3 - 4Anaheim Ducks
10 Apr 2025Anaheim Ducks4 - 3Calgary Flames
04 Apr 2025Calgary Flames4 - 1Anaheim Ducks
31 Jan 2025Calgary Flames4 - 1Anaheim Ducks
08 Jan 2025Anaheim Ducks2 - 3Calgary Flames
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home2.0548.8%10 Oct 20:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away1.8753.5%10 Oct 20:20
Generated 2026-10-30 17:10 UTC