| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 60% | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Michele Ribecai | Max Houkes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1527 | 1679 |
| Surface Elo | 1527 | 1679 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Jacopo Vasami | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filippo Romano | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Max Houkes | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Franco Agamenone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Dev Javia | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Calvin Hemery | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Max Houkes | 1 - 2 | Michele Ribecai |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |