| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 53.4% | 54% | -0.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.9% | 53.0% |
| logistic | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | Branko Djuric | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1487 | 1497 |
| Surface Elo | 1487 | 1497 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 22 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Alexander Chang | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Pol Martin Tiffon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Linus Lagerbohm | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Robert Strombachs | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Chirag Duhan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Aristarkh Safonov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Jun | H | Jan Choinski | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.84 | 54.4% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 15 Oct 06:15 |