| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.5% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| logistic | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Hubert Hurkacz | Arthur Gea | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1963 | 1834 |
| Surface Elo | 1963 | 1834 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Learner Tien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Learner Tien | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Hubert Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Zhizhen Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | H | Michael Zheng | 3 - 2 | W |
| 02 Oct 2026 | Arthur Gea | 1 - 2 | Hubert Hurkacz |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||