| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 57.2% | 50% | +7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.3% | 41.6% |
| logistic | 55.6% | 44.4% |
| Blake Ellis | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1540 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1540 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Ilia Simakin | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Hiroki Moriya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Sep | H | Max Purcell | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Benjamin O'Connell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Jun | H | Ozan Baris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Blake Ellis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Yuta Shimizu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | H | Maximus Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Dominik Palan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Blake Ellis | 2 - 1 | Hiroki Moriya |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No bookmaker lines stored. | |||||