| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 70.3% | 77% | -6.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 65.6% | 34.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.1% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Alexander Zverev | Alexander Bublik | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2164 | 1918 |
| Surface Elo | 2164 | 1918 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Quentin Halys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Yibing Wu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Yibing Wu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Brandon Nakashima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Brandon Nakashima | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Tomas Machac | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 19 Jun 2023 | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | Alexander Zverev |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Alexander Bublik | 1 - 2 | Alexander Zverev |
| 31 Jan 2022 | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | Alexander Zverev |
| 01 Mar 2021 | Alexander Bublik | 2 - 0 | Alexander Zverev |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.30 | 76.9% | 12 Oct 06:15 |