OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-17
⚽ England League Two · Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Salford 2.60 2 - 1 0.40 Crawley Town
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.4%72%-13.1%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 85.9%92%-5.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 80.6%88%-7.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.7%69%-11.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS no 52.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson57.3%23.9%18.8%
xgboost73.5%17.6%8.9%
logistic62.5%24.7%12.8%
Inputs the models saw
SalfordCrawley Town
Elo (pre-match)15431326
Surface Elo15431326
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.600.40
Form trend-0.400.00
Season points per game3.000.50
Season goals for / game2.001.00
Season goals against / game0.252.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W3 W · 4 D
Salford: last 5
10 OctACheltenham2 - 0W
10 OctACheltenham2 - 0W
06 OctAAccrington1 - 1D
03 OctHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
03 OctHFleetwood Town1 - 0W
Crawley Town: last 5
10 OctHChesterfield2 - 2D
10 OctHChesterfield2 - 2D
06 OctHBromley4 - 0W
22 SepAMilton Keynes Dons1 - 4L
19 SepAGrimsby0 - 2L
Head to head
02 May 2026Crawley Town0 - 0Salford
29 Nov 2025Salford4 - 3Crawley Town
13 Jan 2024Crawley Town0 - 1Salford
12 Aug 2023Salford1 - 1Crawley Town
28 Jan 2023Crawley Town3 - 2Salford
03 Sep 2022Salford2 - 2Crawley Town
29 Mar 2022Salford2 - 1Crawley Town
17 Aug 2021Crawley Town2 - 1Salford
09 Mar 2021Crawley Town1 - 0Salford
24 Oct 2020Salford1 - 1Crawley Town
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away7.0014.3%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.2519.1%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3872.5%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4469.4%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6537.7%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:22 UTC