| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.6% | 81% | -12.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.8% | 31.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 73.8% | 26.1% |
| logistic | 71.9% | 28.1% |
| Tallon Griekspoor | Max Schoenhaus | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1736 | 1490 |
| Surface Elo | 1736 | 1490 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 12 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Max Schoenhaus | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Pavel Kotov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | A | Andrey Rublev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Tallon Griekspoor | 1 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Matteo Martineau | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct 2026 | Max Schoenhaus | 1 - 2 | Tallon Griekspoor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.30 | 23.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 20 Oct 06:15 |