| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.1% | 76% | -16.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 56.7% | 43.3% |
| logistic | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| Clement Chidekh | David Goffin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1667 | 1615 |
| Surface Elo | 1667 | 1615 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | David Goffin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Clement Chidekh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 0 - 1 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Apr | H | Thomas Faurel | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Mar | H | Roberto Bautista Agut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Clement Chidekh | 2 - 0 | David Goffin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |