| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.9% | 61% | -1.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 40.6% | 59.3% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Elizabeth Mandlik | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1527 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1527 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 11 Nov | A | Lucia Bronzetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Veronika Erjavec | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Jazmin Ortenzi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | H | Selena Janicijevic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Fiona Ferro | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | H | Jazmin Ortenzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Katrina Scott | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | Laura Samson | 0 - 1 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Nuria Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Yasmine Kabbaj | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |