| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.5% | 68% | -21.1% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.4% | 83% | -8.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.6% | 85% | -24.6% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 41% | +15.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.0% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.5% | 26.2% | 25.3% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 29.4% | 34.1% |
| logistic | 43.4% | 29.1% | 27.4% |
| Tottenham | Coventry | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1606 | 1676 |
| Surface Elo | 1606 | 1676 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Rest days | 9 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Cheltenham | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Man Utd | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Manchester United | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 2 - 3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Everton | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 Oct | H | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Nottingham Forest | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Brighton | 0 - 5 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Manchester City | 0 - 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Hull | 0 - 1 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.50 | 22.2% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.55 | 64.5% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.53 | 65.4% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 19 Oct 20:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.04 | 16.6% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.83 | 20.7% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.54 | 64.9% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.58 | 63.3% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.45 | 40.8% | 19 Oct 06:15 |