| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 68.7% | 76% | -7.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.5% | 40.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 81.5% | 18.4% |
| logistic | 70.6% | 29.4% |
| Linda Noskova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1907 | 1680 |
| Surface Elo | 1907 | 1680 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Viktorija Golubic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Viktorija Golubic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | H | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Linda Noskova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 0 | Linda Noskova |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | Linda Noskova |
| 18 Aug 2025 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 2 - 1 | Linda Noskova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.55 | 28.2% | 05 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.32 | 75.8% | 05 Oct 06:15 |