OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
St Johnstone 1.00 2 - 2 0.00 Motherwell
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 44.6%39%+5.6%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.0%76%-0.7%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 57.4%54%+3.8%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 54.0%56%-1.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 54.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson36.2%28.2%35.6%
xgboost46.0%24.2%29.8%
logistic40.3%28.7%31.0%
Inputs the models saw
St JohnstoneMotherwell
Elo (pre-match)16741640
Surface Elo16741640
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.000.00
Form trend0.000.00
Season points per game1.250.00
Season goals for / game0.750.75
Season goals against / game1.502.25
Rest days43
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
St Johnstone: last 5
24 OctARangers0 - 4L
24 OctARangers0 - 4L
17 OctHDundee United1 - 1D
17 OctHDundee United1 - 1D
11 OctAAberdeen1 - 0W
Motherwell: last 5
25 OctHHeart of Midlothian FC0 - 2L
25 OctHHearts0 - 2L
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
17 OctAKilmarnock2 - 3L
11 OctHCeltic0 - 2L
Head to head
26 Apr 2025Motherwell3 - 2St Johnstone
25 Jan 2025St Johnstone2 - 1Motherwell
09 Nov 2024Motherwell2 - 1St Johnstone
31 Aug 2024St Johnstone1 - 2Motherwell
19 May 2024Motherwell1 - 2St Johnstone
27 Jan 2024St Johnstone1 - 1Motherwell
09 Dec 2023Motherwell1 - 1St Johnstone
07 Nov 2023St Johnstone2 - 2Motherwell
13 May 2023St Johnstone0 - 2Motherwell
01 Feb 2023Motherwell0 - 2St Johnstone
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.7336.6%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5428.2%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.5639.1%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8055.6%27 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0050.0%27 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC