| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.3% | 41% | +14.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 50.6% | 49.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| logistic | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Robert Strombachs | Adrien Gobat | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1582 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1582 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 23 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Sep | H | Karan Singh | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Branko Djuric | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Fares Zakaria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Michal Krajci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Muthu Aadhitiya Senthilkumar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Martin Riu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Romain Andres | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Jelle Sels | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Axel Garcian | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Daniel Jade | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.48 | 67.6% | 20 Oct 06:15 |