| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.1% | 45% | +1.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.1% | 77% | -3.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.2% | 63% | -0.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.4% | 55% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 52.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.1% | 27.9% | 30.9% |
| xgboost | 40.8% | 28.6% | 30.5% |
| logistic | 46.9% | 26.0% | 27.0% |
| Reading | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1516 | 1577 |
| Surface Elo | 1516 | 1577 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.57 | 2.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.29 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Rest days | 7 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Wycombe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Wycombe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Notts County | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Notts County | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Cambridge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Newcastle United U21 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Luton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Luton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Notts County | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Mansfield | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Reading | 2 - 1 | Bradford |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bradford | 2 - 0 | Reading |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.60 | 27.8% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.80 | 55.6% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.98 | 50.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |