OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-06

🎾 tennis_atp_paris_masters · Friday 06 November 2026, 14:10 UTC · scheduled

Luca Van Assche 1.20 14:10 3.00 Rinky Hijikata

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	58.7%	62%	-3.4%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.0%	35.2%
xgboost	55.4%	44.5%
logistic	62.6%	37.4%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Luca Van Assche	Rinky Hijikata
Elo (pre-match)	1827	1796
Surface Elo	1827	1796
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	3.00
Form trend	-0.30	0.00
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	1	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Luca Van Assche: last 5

06 Nov	H	Rinky Hijikata	2 - 1	W
05 Nov	A	Lorenzo Musetti	1 - 2	L
05 Nov	A	Lorenzo Musetti	2 - 1	W
04 Nov	H	Learner Tien	2 - 0	W
04 Nov	A	Learner Tien	2 - 0	W

Rinky Hijikata: last 5

06 Nov	A	Luca Van Assche	1 - 2	L
05 Nov	H	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2 - 1	W
05 Nov	H	Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2 - 1	W
04 Nov	A	Novak Djokovic	2 - 1	W
04 Nov	A	Novak Djokovic	2 - 1	W

Head to head

06 Nov 2026

Luca Van Assche

2 - 1

Rinky Hijikata

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.59	62.9%	06 Nov 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.42	41.3%	06 Nov 06:01
888sport	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.57	63.7%	06 Nov 06:01
888sport	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.38	42.0%	06 Nov 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.59	62.9%	06 Nov 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.45	40.8%	06 Nov 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.53	65.4%	06 Nov 06:01
Betclic (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.23	44.8%	06 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.63	61.4%	06 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.56	39.1%	06 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Luca Van Assche	1.64	61.0%	06 Nov 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Rinky Hijikata	2.58	38.8%	06 Nov 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.57	63.7%	06 Nov 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.48	40.3%	06 Nov 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.59	62.9%	06 Nov 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.37	42.2%	06 Nov 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.60	62.5%	06 Nov 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.47	40.5%	06 Nov 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.61	62.1%	06 Nov 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.33	42.9%	06 Nov 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.61	62.1%	06 Nov 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.32	43.1%	06 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.63	61.4%	06 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.56	39.1%	06 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Luca Van Assche	1.64	61.0%	06 Nov 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Rinky Hijikata	2.58	38.8%	06 Nov 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.59	62.9%	06 Nov 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.37	42.2%	06 Nov 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.59	62.9%	06 Nov 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.49	40.2%	06 Nov 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.54	64.9%	06 Nov 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.23	44.8%	06 Nov 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.40	41.7%	06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.61	62.1%	06 Nov 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.57	63.7%	06 Nov 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.35	42.5%	06 Nov 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.51	66.2%	06 Nov 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.30	43.5%	06 Nov 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.61	62.1%	06 Nov 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.32	43.1%	06 Nov 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.61	62.1%	06 Nov 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.32	43.1%	06 Nov 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.57	63.7%	06 Nov 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.38	42.0%	06 Nov 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.60	62.5%	06 Nov 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.40	41.7%	06 Nov 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	1.54	64.9%	06 Nov 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Rinky Hijikata	2.25	44.4%	06 Nov 06:01

Generated 2026-11-12 21:54 UTC