OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
🇪🇸 La Liga · Sunday 08 November 2026, 20:00 UTC · finished
Atlético Madrid 3.00 1 - 2 2.40 Barcelona
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 47.3%53%-5.6%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.3%81%-4.2%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 61.0%68%-6.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.1%75%-17.2%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 59.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson34.5%23.7%41.8%
xgboost32.5%27.6%39.8%
logistic23.0%20.9%56.1%
Inputs the models saw
Atlético MadridBarcelona
Elo (pre-match)17981932
Surface Elo17981932
Form, last 5 (PPG)3.002.40
Form trend0.000.30
Season points per game2.552.73
Season goals for / game2.004.18
Season goals against / game0.731.09
Rest days88
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W8 W · 0 D
Atlético Madrid: last 5
08 NovHSDA Tordesillas3 - 3D
08 NovACE Europa2 - 3L
03 NovHBayern München0 - 2L
31 OctALevante2 - 0W
31 OctALevante2 - 0W
Barcelona: last 5
31 OctHAlaves6 - 1W
25 OctHReal Madrid1 - 2L
17 OctABetis5 - 2W
10 OctHGetafe3 - 0W
19 SepASevilla3 - 1W
Head to head
04 Apr 2026Atlético Madrid1 - 2Barcelona
02 Dec 2025Barcelona3 - 1Atlético Madrid
16 Mar 2025Atlético Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
21 Dec 2024Barcelona1 - 2Atlético Madrid
17 Mar 2024Atlético Madrid0 - 3Barcelona
03 Dec 2023Barcelona1 - 0Atlético Madrid
23 Apr 2023Barcelona1 - 0Atlético Madrid
08 Jan 2023Atlético Madrid0 - 1Barcelona
06 Feb 2022Barcelona4 - 2Atlético Madrid
02 Oct 2021Atlético Madrid2 - 0Barcelona
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away1.8055.6%08 Nov 20:00
Bet3651X2draw4.5022.2%08 Nov 20:00
Bet3651X2home3.6027.8%08 Nov 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.3673.5%08 Nov 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under3.2031.2%08 Nov 20:00
SportyBet1X2away2.1147.4%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.3323.1%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1831.4%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3375.2%08 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.5028.6%08 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:04 UTC