| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.2% | 60% | -7.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Giles Hussey | Kaylan Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1571 | 1487 |
| Surface Elo | 1571 | 1487 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Rest days | 11 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Oct | A | Johan Alexander Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Amar Tahirovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Jun | H | William Manning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Jun | H | Quentin Halys | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Jun | H | Matteo Arnaldi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | A | Bor Artnak | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | Bryce Nakashima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Erik Schiessl | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.68 | 59.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 08 Nov 06:15 |