| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 69.5% | 71% | -1.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.9% | 63.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.9% | 64.0% |
| logistic | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Kasidit Samrej | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1560 | 1623 |
| Surface Elo | 1560 | 1623 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 3 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Nov | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | James Mccabe | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Coleman Wong | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Carl Emil Overbeck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | H | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Evan Zhu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Jan Kumstat | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Omar Jasika | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | August Holmgren | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep 2026 | Kasidit Samrej | 0 - 2 | Yuta Shimizu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 09 Nov 06:15 |