OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-11-10
🎾 ATP Challenger Matsuyama, Japan Men Singles · Tuesday 10 November 2026, 01:00 UTC · finished
Kasidit Samrej 1.80 2 - 1 2.40 Yuta Shimizu
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 69.5%71%-1.7%✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov36.9%63.1%
poisson37.0%35.2%
xgboost35.9%64.0%
logistic32.9%67.1%
Inputs the models saw
Kasidit SamrejYuta Shimizu
Elo (pre-match)15601623
Surface Elo15601623
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.802.40
Form trend0.300.00
Season points per game1.672.00
Season goals for / game1.221.67
Season goals against / game1.000.83
Rest days35
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W1 W · 0 D
Kasidit Samrej: last 5
06 NovAColeman Wong0 - 2L
05 NovACarl Emil Overbeck2 - 0W
03 NovAJames Mccabe2 - 0W
02 NovAColeman Wong0 - 2L
02 NovACarl Emil Overbeck2 - 0W
Yuta Shimizu: last 5
04 NovHAugust Holmgren2 - 0W
02 NovAEvan Zhu2 - 0W
02 NovAJan Kumstat0 - 2L
02 NovAOmar Jasika2 - 0W
02 NovAAugust Holmgren2 - 0W
Head to head
07 Sep 2026Kasidit Samrej0 - 2Yuta Shimizu
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.4170.9%09 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.7536.4%09 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 21:53 UTC