| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.9% | 56% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| logistic | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Kenta Miyoshi | Sander Jong | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1541 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1541 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Patrick Maloney | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Murphy Cassone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Keshav Chopra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Lloyd Harris | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Philip Sekulic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Aidan Mayo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | J.J. Wolf | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Lui Maxted | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Keegan Rice | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 19 Oct 06:15 |