| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.4% | 49% | +0.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.1% | 80% | -5.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 63.5% | 66% | -2.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 47.4% | 48% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.4% | 26.5% | 31.0% |
| xgboost | 36.5% | 30.0% | 33.4% |
| logistic | 44.5% | 29.2% | 26.3% |
| Rotherham | Crewe | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1397 | 1456 |
| Surface Elo | 1397 | 1456 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.29 | 1.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 22 Sep | A | York | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Salford | 3 - 3 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Bristol Rvs | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Aston Villa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Shrewsbury | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | A | Colchester | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | H | York | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Crewe | 0 - 2 | Rotherham |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Rotherham | 1 - 1 | Crewe |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.20 | 31.2% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.50 | 28.6% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.75 | 57.1% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Sep 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 26 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 26 Sep 06:15 |