| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 56.6% | 62% | -5.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 81.5% | 86% | -4.2% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 75.1% | 81% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 52% | +11.1% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 61.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 17.1% | 27.3% | 55.6% |
| xgboost | 17.5% | 19.7% | 62.8% |
| logistic | 20.7% | 27.3% | 52.0% |
| Getafe | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1600 | 1799 |
| Surface Elo | 1600 | 1799 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | H | Sevilla | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Sevilla | 3 - 1 | W |
| 01 Nov | A | Real Valladolid Promesas | 3 - 4 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | UB Lebrijana | 3 - 2 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Athletic Club | 0 - 4 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Manchester City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Manchester City | 1 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Manchester City | 2 - 2 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Liverpool | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.59 | 62.9% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.31 | 23.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.34 | 15.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.94 | 51.5% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.91 | 52.4% | 05 Nov 06:15 |