| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 60.2% | 61% | -0.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 63.0% | 36.9% |
| logistic | 55.4% | 44.6% |
| Alejo Sanchez Quilez | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1499 | 1481 |
| Surface Elo | 1499 | 1481 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Andrej Nedic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Max Alcala Gurri | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Leote Prata, Vasco | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Joao Dinis Silva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Nicolas Ifi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Gerard Campana Lee | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.64 | 61.0% | 12 Oct 06:15 |