| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.7% | 31% | +13.2% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 72.2% | 58% | +14.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 59.8% | 41% | +18.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.9% | 64% | -8.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.0% | 28.6% | 29.4% |
| xgboost | 38.8% | 28.7% | 32.5% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 29.8% | 25.0% |
| Oldham | Sheffield Weds | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1408 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1408 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Northampton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Crawley Town | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Crawley Town | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Barnet | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Cambridge | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Doncaster | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 08 Nov 06:15 |