OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-01
🎾 ATP Challenger Porto 2, Portugal Men Singles · Thursday 01 October 2026, 13:10 UTC · finished
Tiago Pereira 0.60 0 - 2 1.80 Hugo Grenier
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 59.2%60%-1.0%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov38.1%61.9%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost55.4%44.6%
logistic33.7%66.3%
Inputs the models saw
Tiago PereiraHugo Grenier
Elo (pre-match)13881556
Surface Elo13881556
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.601.80
Form trend-0.600.00
Season points per game1.002.25
Season goals for / game1.331.50
Season goals against / game1.670.50
Rest days22
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Tiago Pereira: last 5
29 SepAOtto Virtanen2 - 1W
28 SepAHugo Grenier0 - 2L
28 SepAOtto Virtanen2 - 1W
20 SepHPavlos Tsitsipas1 - 2L
15 SepHPieczonka, Filip1 - 2L
Hugo Grenier: last 5
29 SepHCarl Emil Overbeck2 - 0W
28 SepHInaki Montes De La Torre0 - 2L
28 SepHTiago Pereira2 - 0W
28 SepACarl Emil Overbeck2 - 0W
22 SepHThomas Faurel0 - 2L
Head to head
28 Sep 2026Hugo Grenier2 - 0Tiago Pereira
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.6660.2%01 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1546.5%01 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC