| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 62.0% | 67% | -5.4% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.6% | 70.3% |
| logistic | 42.2% | 57.8% |
| Erik Arutiunian | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1495 | 1579 |
| Surface Elo | 1495 | 1579 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.88 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Aidan Mchugh | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Gabriel Debru | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Andres Martin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Erik Arutiunian | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 1 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Andrew Fenty | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Andrew Fenty | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Erik Arutiunian | 2 - 0 | Igor Marcondes |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.58 | 63.3% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.30 | 43.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |