OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-09
⚽ England National League · Friday 09 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Sutton 1.20 0 - 2 3.00 Boreham Wood
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 55.7%58%-2.3%✓ hit
DCDraw or away 79.0%83%-4.3%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 71.3%76%-4.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.3%62%-3.4%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson24.1%23.2%52.6%
xgboost19.4%20.3%60.2%
logistic19.2%23.2%57.5%
Inputs the models saw
SuttonBoreham Wood
Elo (pre-match)14001649
Surface Elo14001649
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.203.00
Form trend0.500.00
Season points per game0.753.00
Season goals for / game1.253.25
Season goals against / game1.750.75
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 2 D
Sutton: last 5
03 OctAKidderminster1 - 1D
03 OctAKidderminster1 - 1D
30 SepATamworth0 - 2L
30 SepATamworth0 - 2L
26 SepHForest Green3 - 3D
Boreham Wood: last 5
03 OctHAltrincham3 - 1W
03 OctHAltrincham3 - 1W
29 SepHKidderminster3 - 1W
29 SepHKidderminster3 - 1W
26 SepASolihull3 - 0W
Head to head
25 Apr 2026Boreham Wood1 - 0Sutton
03 Sep 2025Sutton3 - 4Boreham Wood
02 Apr 2021Boreham Wood0 - 0Sutton
13 Feb 2021Sutton2 - 0Boreham Wood
17 Aug 2019Boreham Wood0 - 1Sutton
06 Apr 2019Boreham Wood1 - 2Sutton
18 Sep 2018Sutton0 - 4Boreham Wood
01 Jan 2018Sutton1 - 1Boreham Wood
26 Dec 2017Boreham Wood0 - 4Sutton
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.7058.8%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home4.2523.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6361.4%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:09 UTC