| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 55.9% | 67% | -10.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 30.1% | 54.3% |
| xgboost | 57.7% | 40.4% |
| logistic | 38.6% | 61.4% |
| Calgary Flames | Minnesota Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1419 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1419 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.20 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.25 | 0.60 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.13 | 3.10 |
| Season goals against / game | 4.63 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Carolina Hurricanes | 3 - 2 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 6 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Anaheim Ducks | 4 - 2 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Anaheim Ducks | 2 - 4 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Colorado Avalanche | 3 - 7 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Edmonton Oilers | 3 - 4 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | H | St. Louis Blues | 5 - 4 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Winnipeg Jets | 2 - 5 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 - 2 | W |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 1 | Calgary Flames |
| 05 Dec 2025 | Calgary Flames | 4 - 1 | Minnesota Wild |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 2 - 0 | Calgary Flames |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Calgary Flames | 4 - 2 | Minnesota Wild |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Minnesota Wild | 4 - 5 | Calgary Flames |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Calgary Flames | 4 - 3 | Minnesota Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 23 Oct 00:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 1.50 | 66.7% | 23 Oct 00:20 |