| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 69.9% | 83% | -12.8% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.5% | 32.5% |
| logistic | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| markov | abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0) | |
| Ben Shelton | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 2027 | 1658 |
| Surface Elo | 2027 | 1658 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 16 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 2 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Oct | H | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Arthur Gea | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Daniel Altmaier | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Alexander Zverev | 1 - 3 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | James Duckworth | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Nov 2022 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1 - 2 | Ben Shelton |
| 07 Nov 2022 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | Ben Shelton |
| 18 Jul 2022 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Ben Shelton |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 0 - 2 | Ben Shelton |
| 19 Jul 2021 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 2 - 0 | Ben Shelton |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.56 | 21.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 1xBet | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.22 | 82.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| 888sport | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.60 | 21.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetAnything | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.18 | 84.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 5.30 | 18.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.22 | 82.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 5.50 | 18.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betfair sharp | h2h_lay | Ben Shelton | 1.23 | 81.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.51 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.21 | 82.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Betsson | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.19 | 84.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.60 | 21.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Coolbet | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.40 | 22.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.21 | 82.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Marathon Bet | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 5.30 | 18.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.22 | 82.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 5.60 | 17.9% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Matchbook | h2h_lay | Ben Shelton | 1.23 | 81.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Nordic Bet | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.19 | 84.0% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.92 | 20.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Pinnacle sharp | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.21 | 82.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.10 | 24.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| PMU (FR) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.16 | 86.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.75 | 21.1% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.21 | 82.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| Tipico | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Tipico | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.16 | 86.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.10 | 24.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.17 | 85.5% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.40 | 22.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.21 | 82.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.40 | 22.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.21 | 82.6% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.50 | 22.2% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| William Hill | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.90 | 20.4% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.20 | 83.3% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Aleksandar Kovacevic | 4.40 | 22.7% | 27 Oct 06:01 |
| Winamax (FR) | h2h | Ben Shelton | 1.18 | 84.8% | 27 Oct 06:01 |