| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 47.6% | 47% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 77.0% | 80% | -3.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 61.4% | 62% | -1.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 73% | -11.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.8% | 22.8% | 39.4% |
| xgboost | 55.3% | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| logistic | 46.0% | 26.9% | 27.1% |
| Hertha Berlin | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1575 | 1546 |
| Surface Elo | 1575 | 1546 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.80 | 1.90 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.30 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 31 Oct | A | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Kaiserslautern | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | SSV Jeddeloh II | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 1 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Bielefeld | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Osnabruck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Osnabruck | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Freiburg | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Bochum | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 May 2023 | Wolfsburg | 1 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| 24 Jan 2023 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 5 | Wolfsburg |
| 15 Jan 2022 | Wolfsburg | 0 - 0 | Hertha Berlin |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 2 | Wolfsburg |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Wolfsburg | 2 - 0 | Hertha Berlin |
| 01 Nov 2020 | Hertha Berlin | 1 - 1 | Wolfsburg |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Wolfsburg | 1 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| 25 Aug 2019 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 3 | Wolfsburg |
| 02 Feb 2019 | Hertha Berlin | 0 - 1 | Wolfsburg |
| 15 Sep 2018 | Wolfsburg | 2 - 2 | Hertha Berlin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.10 | 32.3% | 07 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 07 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 07 Nov 19:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.10 | 32.3% | 07 Nov 19:30 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.38 | 72.5% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.95 | 33.9% | 07 Nov 06:15 |