OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
Dundee 1.40 3 - 1 1.40 Kilmarnock
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.1%51%+0.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 78.1%78%-0.3%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 68.9%69%-0.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 58.2%62%-3.5%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 56.3%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.9%23.1%26.9%
xgboost54.6%24.9%20.5%
logistic48.8%28.5%22.7%
Inputs the models saw
DundeeKilmarnock
Elo (pre-match)16331596
Surface Elo16331596
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.40
Form trend0.200.40
Season points per game1.400.80
Season goals for / game1.401.00
Season goals against / game1.202.30
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Dundee: last 5
24 OctASt Mirren1 - 2L
24 OctASt Mirren1 - 2L
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
17 OctHRangers2 - 2D
10 OctAFalkirk2 - 1W
Kilmarnock: last 5
24 OctAFalkirk0 - 3L
24 OctAFalkirk0 - 3L
17 OctHMotherwell3 - 2W
17 OctHMotherwell3 - 2W
10 OctARangers1 - 3L
Head to head
12 May 2026Kilmarnock3 - 1Dundee
11 Apr 2026Kilmarnock2 - 2Dundee
30 Dec 2025Dundee2 - 1Kilmarnock
23 Aug 2025Kilmarnock0 - 0Dundee
10 May 2025Kilmarnock3 - 2Dundee
30 Nov 2024Kilmarnock1 - 1Dundee
03 Nov 2024Dundee3 - 2Kilmarnock
05 Oct 2024Dundee2 - 3Kilmarnock
18 May 2024Dundee1 - 1Kilmarnock
02 Mar 2024Dundee2 - 2Kilmarnock
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.8026.3%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home1.9152.4%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.7357.8%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1047.6%28 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away3.6627.3%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8226.2%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.9850.5%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6261.7%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC