| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No prediction run for this match yet. | |||||
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| – | |||
| Nacional | Famalicao | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1416 | 1591 |
| Surface Elo | 1416 | 1591 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 12 Sep | H | Alverca | 1 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Sp Lisbon | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Estrela | 2 - 3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | Guimaraes | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Estoril | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Sp Lisbon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 05 Sep | A | Estrela | 2 - 2 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Gil Vicente | 0 - 0 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | Santa Clara | 0 - 1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Maritimo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Famalicao | 1 - 0 | Nacional |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Nacional | 0 - 1 | Famalicao |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Nacional | 2 - 1 | Famalicao |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Famalicao | 0 - 0 | Nacional |
| 16 May 2021 | Famalicao | 3 - 0 | Nacional |
| 30 Jan 2021 | Nacional | 2 - 1 | Famalicao |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 19 Sep 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 19 Sep 15:30 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 4.10 | 24.4% | 19 Sep 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.15 | 46.5% | 19 Sep 15:30 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.67 | 59.9% | 19 Sep 15:30 |