| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 42.0% | 46% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 74.3% | 81% | -6.5% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.8% | 61% | -5.2% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.7% | 40% | +10.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.4% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 45.9% | 24.8% | 29.3% |
| xgboost | 38.4% | 25.6% | 36.0% |
| logistic | 36.2% | 28.9% | 34.9% |
| Mansfield | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1538 | 1498 |
| Surface Elo | 1538 | 1498 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 1 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Macclesfield | 3 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Wigan | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Nov | A | Wigan | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 Oct | H | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | H | Yeovil | 4 - 3 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Newport County | 1 - 4 | L |
| 30 Oct | A | Newport County | 1 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Crewe | 5 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Crewe | 5 - 1 | W |
| 14 Apr 2018 | Chesterfield | 0 - 1 | Mansfield |
| 25 Nov 2017 | Mansfield | 2 - 2 | Chesterfield |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.90 | 25.6% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.20 | 45.5% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.45 | 69.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 10 Nov 06:15 |