| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 58.2% | 49% | +9.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.7% | 41.8% |
| xgboost | 32.3% | 66.4% |
| logistic | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| Pittsburgh Penguins | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1450 | 1583 |
| Surface Elo | 1450 | 1583 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 0.33 | 0.69 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.27 | 3.63 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.47 | 2.38 |
| Rest days | 2 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 2 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Montréal Canadiens | 4 - 5 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 3 - 4 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 22 Oct | H | Florida Panthers | 4 - 0 | W |
| 03 Nov | H | Vegas Golden Knights | 3 - 2 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Chicago Blackhawks | 5 - 4 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | St. Louis Blues | 1 - 4 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | San Jose Sharks | 6 - 4 | W |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 4 | Boston Bruins |
| 04 Mar 2026 | Boston Bruins | 2 - 1 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Boston Bruins | 1 - 0 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 - 4 | Boston Bruins |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 2 - 3 | Boston Bruins |
| 29 Nov 2024 | Boston Bruins | 1 - 2 | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 05 Nov 23:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 05 Nov 23:20 |