| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.1% | 48% | +5.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| logistic | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| Marie Bouzkova | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1743 | 1792 |
| Surface Elo | 1743 | 1792 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Kimberly Birrell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Qinwen Zheng | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Kimberly Birrell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Iga Swiatek | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Harriet Dart | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Anna Kalinskaya | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Han Shi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Mirra Andreeva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elise Mertens | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Elina Svitolina | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Marie Bouzkova | 1 - 2 | Qinwen Zheng |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.76 | 56.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 04 Oct 06:15 |